Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.350179 3.612587 3.897110 4.230605 4.613497 5.042700 5.565022
2026-01-25 3.262209 3.680271 4.169938 4.796444 5.593231 6.597547 8.003400
2026-02-01 2.877839 3.318048 3.853665 4.570810 5.535558 6.838281 8.832411
2026-02-08 2.584514 3.023403 3.571336 4.328521 5.389147 6.897383 9.376381
2026-02-15 2.422839 2.873882 3.451179 4.274277 5.475669 7.280115 10.490915
2026-02-22 2.271479 2.722908 3.311838 4.172324 5.470518 7.511134 11.403853
2026-03-01 2.121581 2.562384 3.145376 4.012503 5.353245 7.535282 11.935493
2026-03-08 1.978402 2.401996 2.967631 3.819630 5.160457 7.399037 12.107821
2026-03-15 1.910189 2.338459 2.919132 3.811738 5.257645 7.777050 13.481027
2026-03-22 1.844551 2.274321 2.864812 3.788923 5.325235 8.110022 14.882173
2026-03-29 1.782677 2.211912 2.808633 3.757601 5.372992 8.411310 16.337641
2026-04-05 1.772242 2.220526 2.855255 3.890649 5.721907 9.385856 20.225235
2026-04-12 1.741648 2.204715 2.873250 3.994181 6.062880 10.510586 25.976588
2026-04-19 1.804845 2.329360 3.115258 4.506105 7.307363 14.373839 52.568671
2026-04-26 1.703891 2.204566 2.958381 4.302079 7.041158 14.114684 55.440633
2026-05-03 1.607335 2.082357 2.799366 4.082304 6.714253 13.597095 55.597369
2026-05-10 1.553580 2.022421 2.736754 4.032999 6.756637 14.230558 68.836525
2026-05-17 1.495104 1.952712 2.654427 3.940230 6.687695 14.493733 80.475389
2026-05-24 1.430015 1.870471 2.547845 3.794537 6.478967 14.230288 84.727209
2026-05-31 1.362564 1.782533 2.428608 3.618271 6.182076 13.598391 81.614930
2026-06-07 1.332033 1.750360 2.399550 3.611048 6.284094 14.419154 111.119687
2026-06-14 1.300791 1.715852 2.364847 3.590163 6.350523 15.150104 154.455590
2026-06-21 1.269939 1.680825 2.327594 3.561478 6.393994 15.823176 223.758356